Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Serie D 🌤️ ...


	Melfi		Palmese 1914

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.60
	2.52	2.85	2.65
	2.55	3.05	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3.02	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melfi
35.9%

Draw
30.2%

Palmese 1914
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melfi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Palmese 1914 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melfi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmese 1914 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Melfi - Palmese 1914 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Puntoriere M. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group H (Play Out: ) and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Palmese 1914	9	3	2	4	15:17	-2	11
15	Melfi	9	2	2	5	5:11	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Melfi
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.10.26	Melfi - Bisceglie	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ischia Isolaverde - Melfi	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Melfi - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Ebolitana - Melfi	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Melfi - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Palmese 1914
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.10.26	Palmese 1914 - Ebolitana	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Bisceglie - Palmese 1914	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Palmese 1914 - Nardo	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Juve Stabia - Palmese 1914	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
27.09.26	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

Melfi - Palmese 1914: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide