Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Melhus		Rana

	1	X	2
	5.36	4.76	1.4
	5.47	5.02	1.42
	5.62	4.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.26)	4.91 ↑ (4.31)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melhus
16.6%

Draw
18.5%

Rana
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

20.9%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

19.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melhus than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rana than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Melhus - Rana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Beyene S. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Froysa B. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 3, Rade K.A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 4, Froysa B. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, Hegerberg I. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Melhus is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Melhus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melhus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Melhus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melhus IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.09.24	Byåsen - Melhus	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	Rosenborg II - Melhus	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Melhus - Trygg Lade	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Tiller - Melhus	0:6 ✺
26.08.24	Melhus - Strømsgodset 2	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWWWL
- Rana FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.09.24	Rana - Trygg Lade	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Rana	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Rana - Verdal	6:1 ✺
01.09.24	Surnadal IL - Rana	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Rana - Lillestrøm 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
01.06.24	Rana - Melhus	4:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
06.08.22	Melhus - Rana	3:1
07.05.22	Rana - Melhus	4:1

Melhus - Rana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide