Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Rosenborg II		Melhus

	1	X	2
	3.60	4.60	1.58
	3.35	4.20	1.67
	3.55	4.95	1.51
	2.86	4.51	1.94	Watch
	3.50	4.90	1.49
	3.86	4.70	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.24)	4.64 ↑ (4.3)	1.64 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg II
26%

Draw
19.3%

Melhus
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

21.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

20.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosenborg II's form might have worsened.

Melhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melhus than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rosenborg II - Melhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Totland P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Troen M. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Malin K. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Totland P. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 4, Totland P. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg II won 0.

Rosenborg II has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Melhus is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg II has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:21 (averaging 2.2:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rosenborg II against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Melhus	22	11	5	6	52:28	24	38
6	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50:40	10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
25.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Rosenborg II	1:7 ✺
21.09.26	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	Rosenborg II - Nardo	2:5 ✺
31.08.26	Rosenborg II - Byåsen	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Rosenborg II - Ranheim 2	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- Melhus IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
26.09.26	Melhus - Spjelkavik	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Molde 2 - Melhus	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Melhus - Volda	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herd - Melhus	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Melhus - Strindheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.06.26	Melhus - Rosenborg II	1:1
15.09.25	Rosenborg II - Melhus	2:3
02.07.25	Melhus - Rosenborg II	4:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
16.09.24	Rosenborg II - Melhus	1:2
27.05.24	Melhus - Rosenborg II	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
05.09.22	Rosenborg II - Melhus	2:0
01.09.22	Melhus - Rosenborg II	4:1

Rosenborg II - Melhus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide