Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Melilla		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.25
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.8	2.9	2.44
	2.99	3.11	2.58
	2.9	3.06	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.01)	3 ↓ (3.01)	2.42 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
31.5%

Draw
30.6%

Extremadura UD
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Extremadura UD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Extremadura UD will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.12.20	Don Benito - Melilla	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Melilla - Socuéllamos	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Villarrubia - Melilla	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Melilla - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW
- Extremadura UD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.12.20	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Villanovense - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
14.11.20	Don Benito - Extremadura UD	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Villarrobledo - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.03.18	Extremadura UD - Melilla	1:0
01.11.17	Melilla - Extremadura UD	0:0
26.03.17	Extremadura UD - Melilla	0:1
02.11.16	Melilla - Extremadura UD	0:1

Melilla - Extremadura UD

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Melilla - Extremadura UD Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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