Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Villarrubia		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.5	2.85
	2.8	2.6	2.8
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	3.01	2.83	2.79
	2.72	3.06	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.65)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
33.1%

Draw
33.1%

Melilla
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

33%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrubia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarrubia - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)).

Villarrubia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Badajoz - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Villarrubia - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Extremadura UD - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
21.10.20	Villarrubia - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.10.20	Villarrubia - Villanovense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Melilla - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.10.20	Melilla - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.20	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
21.10.20	Melilla - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW

Villarrubia - Melilla

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Villarrubia - Melilla Predictions

Preview

Form

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