Match Info

Date: 27 January 2022, Thursday


	Extremadura UD		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	12.08	5.89	1.17
	43	13.5	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	27.54 ↑ (3.26)	9.7 ↑ (2.84)	1.1 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
3.4%

Draw
9.8%

Talavera de la Reina
86.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

32.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

21.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Extremadura UD's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+47.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+39.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Extremadura UD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-60.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Talavera is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Extremadura UD	3:0 ✺
08.01.22	Real Unión de Irun - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	2:4 ✺
12.12.21	UD Logroñés - Extremadura UD	1:3 ✺
04.12.21	Extremadura UD - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 LWLWT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.01.22	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Talavera de la Reina - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Talavera de la Reina - Betis	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.21	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.21	Talavera de la Reina - Extremadura UD	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.21	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.02.21	Talavera de la Reina - Extremadura UD	2:2
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2

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