Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Melilla		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.48	2.85	2.9
	2.57	2.83	2.94
	2.54	2.83	2.93	Watch
	2.53	2.88	2.88
	2.48	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.17)	2.83 ↓ (3.35)	2.9 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
36.5%

Draw
32.1%

Getafe B
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.

Getafe B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Getafe B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Getafe B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Getafe B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Calcada G. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Ramos I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Melilla - Coria	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Melilla - Conquense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWT
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Getafe B - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.05.21	Melilla - Getafe B	1:1
04.04.21	Getafe B - Melilla	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.20	Getafe B - Melilla	2:0
25.08.19	Melilla - Getafe B	1:0

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