Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Melilla		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.77	3.15	4.6
	1.8	3	5.05
	1.77	3.03	5.16	Watch
	1.77	3.18	4.92
	1.77	3.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	4.76 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
51.5%

Draw
29.4%

Coria
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bravo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Manchon Samuel ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Telles L. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Melilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Melilla - Conquense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Real Madrid C - Melilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTLL
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Coria - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Coria - Elche	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Getafe B - Coria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.04.23	Melilla - Coria	2:1
27.11.22	Coria - Melilla	1:1

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