Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.24	2.85	3.3
	2.23	2.81	3.86
	2.18	2.77	3.75
	2.16	2.91	3.62
	2.24	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	2.83 ↓ (3.12)	3.46 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
41.3%

Draw
32.3%

Melilla
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Navalcarnero - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Alonso J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Herrero E. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Urain E. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Fernandez I. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
03.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Melilla - Coria	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Melilla - Conquense	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.05.23	Melilla - Navalcarnero	0:0
08.01.23	Navalcarnero - Melilla	0:1

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