Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Melilla		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33
	1.78	3	4.4
	1.84	3.05	4.4
	1.81	3.07	5.01
	1.79	3.07	4.94
	1.79	3.14	4.88
	1.84	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (2.93)	4.62 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melilla
50.4%

Draw
29.9%

Unión Adarve
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melilla - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Melilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Melilla	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Melilla - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Melilla - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Tenerife B - Melilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Cazalegas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.24	Colonia Moscardó - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Getafe B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.03.23	Unión Adarve - Melilla	2:2
16.10.22	Melilla - Unión Adarve	1:0

Upcoming Matches