Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Melilla		Unión Sur Yaiza

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.75
	1.77	3.1	4.33
	1.84	3.05	4.4
	1.86	2.97	5.05
	1.83	2.91	5.02
	1.86	3.13	4.48
	1.84	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.69)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	4.63 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
50.1%

Draw
30.1%

Unión Sur Yaiza
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Unión Sur Yaiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Bassele M. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Melilla is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Sur Yaiza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Real Madrid C - Melilla	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Melilla - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Melilla	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Melilla - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Getafe B - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWLW

Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide