Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Melilla B		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	2.91	2.73	2.63
	2.91	2.77	2.62
	2.9	2.5	2.63
	2.83	2.7	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla B
31.4%

Draw
33.9%

Marbellí
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

34%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

33.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Melilla B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Melilla B - Marbellí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melilla B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marbelli	8	4	2	2	8:7	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.04.26	Mancha Real - Melilla B	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Melilla B - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Melilla B - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Churriana de la Vega - Melilla B	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melilla B - Torreperogil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLT
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.04.26	Marbellí - Martos	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Torre Del Mar - Marbellí	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Motril - Marbellí	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Marbellí - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Marbellí - Melilla B	1:0

Melilla B - Marbellí