Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mijas-Las Lagunas		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.85
	1.86	3.16	4.37
	2.17	2.82	3.76	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.83	3.34	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	4.14 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mijas-Las Lagunas
47.8%

Draw
30.1%

Marbellí
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marbellí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Mijas Las Lagunas - Marbellí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Mijas-Las Lagunas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Marbellí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mijas-Las Lagunas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Marbelli	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.03.26	Mancha Real - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Arenas Armilla	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Churriana de la Vega - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Torreperogil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLW
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.03.26	Motril - Marbellí	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Marbellí - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Arenas Armilla - Marbellí	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Marbellí - Churriana de la Vega	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Torreperogil - Marbellí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:2
24.11.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Marbellí	1:2

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