Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Balzan		Melita

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.65	Watch
	1.5	3.95	4.89
	1.54	4.04	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.48	3.98	5.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	5.07 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
59.4%

Draw
22.9%

Melita
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

Balzan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melita's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Balzan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Balzan is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
12.04.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:3 ✺
06.04.26	Sirens - Balzan	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Balzan - Swieqi United	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.04.26	Melita - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Swieqi United - Melita	Melita Awarded ✺
14.03.26	Melita - St. Andrews	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0
Maltese Premier League
13.04.25	Balzan - Melita	3:1
01.03.25	Balzan - Melita	1:1
08.12.24	Melita - Balzan	1:0
20.10.24	Melita - Balzan	2:0

Balzan - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide