Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis, TN)

Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)


	Memphis 901		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.75	3.5
	1.93	3.94	3.47
	2.03	3.34	3.68
	1.92	3.63	3.53	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	3.47 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
47.9%

Draw
25.5%

Monterey Bay
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

27.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis 901's form might have worsened.

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterey Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis 901, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monterey Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 3. Vom Steeg C. 91. Cissoko A. 14. Ward A. 6. Duncan Z. 4. Hyndman E. 77. Borczak D. 10. Lapa B. 11. Marlon 20. Pickering N.	16. Siaha A. (G) 3. Doner M. 30. Greene K. (C) 4. Lara A. 5. Guzman C. 10. Baca R. 19. Enriquez J. 13. Fehr M. 7. Rebollar A. 31. Boone C. 9. Trager T.
Substitutes
47. Bailey T. (G) 7. Meza N. 23. Paul L. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu 8. Turci L.	17. Archimede L. 64. Ayon J. 6. Dieter R. 15. Dixon A. 32. Gallaway P. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Herrera C. (G)
Coaches
Glass S.	Yallop F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lara A. (Own goal),
36', Jimenez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jimenez O. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
49', Duncan Z. 🟨,
56', Duncan Z. ↓, Turci L. ↑,
58', Cissoko A. ↓, Paul L. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Trager T. (Pen),
70', 1 - 2, Lara A. ⚽, Enriquez J. (A),
72', Quezada A. 🟨,
79', Lapa B. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
81', Trager T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
90+2', Enriquez J. ↓, Ayon J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Memphis is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monterey Bay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Memphis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
13.04.24	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Memphis 901 - Las Vegas Lights	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Monterey Bay FC
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Monterey Bay - Irvine Zeta	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	San Antonio - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Monterey Bay - Rhode Island	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.09.23	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	0:1

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