Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frey B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.40
	2.45	3.40	2.45
	2.37	3.91	2.63
	2.49	3.87	2.44	Watch
	2.30	3.85	2.55
	2.39	3.74	2.60	Watch
	2.33	3.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	2.52 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
38.6%

Draw
24.9%

Las Vegas Lights
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 22. Garcia J. 47. Elliot Q. 25. Egwu K. 3. Ritchie S. 88. Lletget S. (C) 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 10. Canete F. 20. Paul I. 15. Barajas F.	13. Lanphier C. (G) 45. Pope B. 3. Jones N. 4. Stretch C. 33. Guillen A. 17. Leal P. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 14. Rodriguez J. 9. Arteaga M. 11. Pinzon C. (C)
Substitutes
23. Blancas E. 1. Delgado F. (G) 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 16. Jacob Montes 93. Judson 21. Otoya D. 26. Pakbaz J. 30. Villasana A.	81. Antonoglou T. 10. Azcona E. 99. Moya J. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 43. Okyere A. 27. Probo G. 6. Sessock N.
Coaches
Covelo A.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nakamura R. ↓, Judson ↑,
58', Canete F. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
67', Locker C. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
67', Pinzon C. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
71', Barajas F. 🟨,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Azcona E. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Glasgow O. ⚽, Paul I. (A),
75', Paul I. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
75', Ross N. ↓, Jacob Montes ↑,
78', Ritchie S. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Ybarra M. ⚽, Stretch C. (A),
80', Ybarra M. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Otoya D. (A),
89', Lletget S. ↓, Pakbaz J. ↑,
90+1', Jones N. 🟨,
90+1', Otoya D. 🟨,
90+1', Glasgow O. 🟨,
90+3', Barajas F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Monterey Bay has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monterey Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 2:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Las Vegas Lights - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
17.10.26	Monterey Bay - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	New Mexico United - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Monterey Bay - Lexington	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Charleston Battery - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
17.10.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	3:5 ✺
10.10.26	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Las Vegas Lights - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
11.07.26	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	2:3
USL Championship
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0
25.10.25	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
14.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	2:0
14.09.24	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	0:0
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2

Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights