Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Monterey Bay		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.25	2.80
	2.18	3.45	2.70
	2.28	3.3	2.97
	2.27	3.24	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.24	3.75	2.81	Watch
	2.26	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
40.7%

Draw
27.4%

Las Vegas Lights
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dalton C. (G) 8. Lomtadze G. 3. Ritchie S. 32. Farnsworth Z. 25. Egwu K. 4. Ross N. (C) 47. Elliot Q. 23. Blancas E. 7. Rebollar A. 18. Belmar J. 24. Saidi A.	13. Lanphier C. (G) 3. Jones N. 30. Ofeimu B. 43. Okyere A. 6. Sessock N. 18. Locker C. 20. Smart S. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. (C) 26. Bwana H. 9. Arteaga M.
Substitutes
33. Carbajal D. 1. Delgado F. (G) 22. Garcia J. 5. Gordon N. 11. Leggett W. 88. Lletget S. 19. Nadje C. 14. Nakamura R. 30. Villasana A.	25. Anderson O. 81. Antonoglou T. 33. Guillen A. 17. Leal P. 96. Miller C. (G) 11. Pinzon C. 45. Pope B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Farnsworth Z. ⚽, Blancas E. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Belmar J. ⚽, Blancas E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Arteaga M. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
51', Ross N. 🟨,
58', Sessock N. 🟨,
62', Lomtadze G. ↓, Lletget S. ↑,
62', Ross N. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
63', Smart S. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
68', Bwana H. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Okyere A. ⚽,
74', Belmar J. ↓, Gordon N. ↑,
79', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
81', Probo G. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Locker C. (A),
89', Elliot Q. 🟨,
90', Pope B. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Anderson O. ⚽, Sessock N. (A),
90+4', Guillen A. 🟨,
90+4', Sessock N. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,
90+5', Anderson O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1.

Monterey Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Las Vegas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
04.07.26	San Antonio - Monterey Bay	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Monterey Bay - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWL
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0
25.10.25	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
14.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	2:0
14.09.24	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	0:0
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2
10.06.23	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:2

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