Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Oakland Roots		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.60	3.30
	1.92	3.45	3.4
	1.9	3.7	3.3
	1.89	4.24	3.29	Watch
	2	3.55	3.5
	1.94	3.67	3.56	Watch
	1.93	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	3.39 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
47.9%

Draw
24.9%

Monterey Bay
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

20.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oakland Roots's form might have worsened.

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (C) 23. Bravo J. 34. Edwards M. 5. Garcia D. 11. de Vicente J. 27. Jacquesson B. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. 7. Prentice W. 10. Valot F. 2. Bruno Lapa	1. Delgado F. (C) 47. Elliot Q. 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 16. Jacob Montes 88. Lletget S. 15. Barajas F. 20. Paul I.
Substitutes
77. Bettache F. 20. Fisher M. 12. Gibson T. 15. Hackshaw N. 19. Kiil J. 21. Lepley T. 53. Stone G. 87. Taylor D. (G) 9. Wilson P.	18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 31. Dalton C. (G) 22. Garcia J. 11. Leggett W. 21. Otoya D. 3. Ritchie S.
Coaches
Martin R.	Covelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Paul I. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Jacquesson B. ⚽, Garcia D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Elliot Q. 🟨,
53', Glasgow O. 🟨,
60', Jacquesson B. ↓, Wilson P. ↑,
63', Jacob Montes ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
64', Barajas F. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
68', Bravo J. ↓, Fisher M. ↑,
68', Bruno Lapa ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
76', Glasgow O. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Paul I. ⚽,
83', Lepley T. 🟨,
85', Elliot Q. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
87', Byaruhanga B. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
87', Prentice W. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
90+3', Otoya D. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 3.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Oakland Roots could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
08.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	Lexington - Oakland Roots	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
08.08.26	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	2:5 ✺
05.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
25.04.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 penalties
USL Championship
07.03.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:1
30.08.25	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	1:0
USL Cup
28.06.25	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:1
USL Championship
15.03.25	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	3:2
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1
06.04.24	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	0:1

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