Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Menemen İlçe Stadyumu (Izmir)


	Menemenspor		1461 Trabzon

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.35	3.2
	1.88	3.79	3.44	Watch
	2	3.25	3.25
	1.9	3.45	3.51
	1.88	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)	3.36 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Menemenspor
47.2%

Draw
26%

1461 Trabzon
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

29.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

1461 Trabzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 1461 Trabzon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Menemenspor - 1461 Trabzon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. 1461 Trabzon will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 1461 Trabzon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - 1461 Trabzon (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1461 Trabzon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Demiroglu B. ⚽, Karagoz Y. E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Gunes S. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 1 - 2, Gunes S. ⚽, Karakus E. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Unal V. (Own goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

Menemen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

1461 Trabzon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

1461 Trabzon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Menemen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Menemen won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Menemen won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Menemenspor - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.12.25	Menemenspor - Aliaga	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:4 ✺
30.11.25	Menemenspor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mardin 1969 - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Menemenspor - Fethiyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLW
- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.12.25	1461 Trabzon - Kırklarelispor	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Isparta 32 Spor - 1461 Trabzon	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Arnavutköy - 1461 Trabzon	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	1461 Trabzon - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Muş Spor - 1461 Trabzon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.17	Menemenspor - 1461 Trabzon	2:2
21.10.16	1461 Trabzon - Menemenspor	1:1
Turkish Second League White Group
05.04.15	1461 Trabzon - Menemenspor	3:1
23.11.14	Menemenspor - 1461 Trabzon	1:1

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