Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Menemen İlçe Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Kursad Filiz M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX


	Menemenspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.93
	3.5	3.5	1.85
	3.35	3.6	1.87
	3.42	4.29	1.92
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.48	3.85	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	3.73 ↑ (3.64)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Menemenspor
27%

Draw
24.6%

Gençlerbirliği
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.8%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Menemenspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Menemen will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Menemen: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Menemenspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gençlerbirliği is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gençlerbirliği will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Menemenspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Menemenspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Menemenspor
Turkish First League
08.05.22	Denizlispor - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Menemenspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Keçiörengücü - Menemenspor	1:0 ✺
20.04.22	Menemenspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Balikesirspor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTT
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
08.05.22	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Denizlispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Gençlerbirliği - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Bursaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Tuzlaspor - Gençlerbirliği	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.12.21	Gençlerbirliği - Menemenspor	5:0
Turkish Cup
25.01.17	Menemenspor - Gençlerbirliği	3:2
15.12.16	Gençlerbirliği - Menemenspor	3:0

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