Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Tuzla Belediyesi Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)


	Tuzlaspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.4	3.3	2.95
	2.57	3.35	2.76
	2.4	3.29	2.94
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.38	3.16	2.93	Watch
	2.33	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.93)	3.2 ↑ (3.13)	2.87 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
38.9%

Draw
28.9%

Gençlerbirliği
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuzlaspor's performance.

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gençlerbirliği might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuzlaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gençlerbirliği could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Tuzlaspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Koyuncu E. (G) 27. Asatekin S. 33. Akkan G. 3. Awuku P. 96. Giritlioglu C. 28. Togui W. 19. Ciftci H. 12. Ba M. 44. Bangoura S. 42. Coskun M. 17. Mamba S.	1. Cetin E. (G) 15. Nzaba F. 24. Babacan A. 17. Gureler Y. 12. Berber O. 89. Amilton 6. Cagiran R. 88. Bentley 20. Kemaloglu E. 91. Bostan M. 9. Yatabare M.
Substitutes
15. Aktas A. 5. Ay S. 77. Bas S. 22. Cinar Z. 4. Hasanalizada B. 14. Kanicok A. 11. Kose A. 56. Koylu K. (G) 7. Stankovski L. 99. Yurt K. (G)	26. Aksaka B. 35. Cagiran M. 60. Cek O. 87. Durak A. 14. Durmaz E. 21. Durmaz J. 61. Karakullukcu O. 8. Lea S. J. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 33. Temur A.
Coaches
Sevgi M.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Awuku P. (Own goal),
34', Ba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Bentley 🟨,
66', Togui W. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
68', Bostan M. ↓, Cek O. ↑,
82', Akkan G. ↓, Bas S. ↑,
82', Coskun M. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
86', Ciftci H. 🟨,
87', Amilton ↓, Cagiran M. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Bas S. ⚽,
90+12', Cek O. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Tuzlaspor: Akarslan M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Aosman A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Rodrigues T. (Injury) Yatabare S. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
05.05.24	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Bandırmaspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Giresunspor - Tuzlaspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WTTTW
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
05.05.24	Gençlerbirliği - Giresunspor	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Göztepe - Gençlerbirliği	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Keçiörengücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.12.23	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	0:2
04.03.23	Tuzlaspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0
10.09.22	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	1:2
15.04.22	Tuzlaspor - Gençlerbirliği	4:0
20.11.21	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	0:1
Turkish Cup
17.12.20	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	0:2
25.10.17	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	3:0

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