Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Mensajero		Real Unión

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.15
	1.51	4.1	5.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	3.9 ↓ (4)	5.29 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mensajero
59.7%

Draw
23.2%

Real Unión
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Mensajero - Real Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Arrocha E. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Grande D. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Mensajero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Unión has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mensajero is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Mensajero will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Mensajero - Herbania	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Las Palmas C - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mensajero - Panadería Pulido	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mensajero - Marino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWW
- Real Unión de Tenerife
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
31.10.25	Real Unión - Tenerife C	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Real Unión - UD San Fernando	4:2 ✺
11.10.25	Arucas - Real Unión	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión - Villa de Santa Brígida	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Real Unión - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWWTW

Mensajero - Real Unión: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide