Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 11

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)


	Meppen		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	2.95
	2.05	3.6	3.2
	2.06	3.75	3.23
	1.99	3.73	3.14
	1.99	3.66	3.09
	2.05	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.43)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	3.14 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
45.6%

Draw
25.1%

TSV Havelse
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meppen's performance.

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSV Havelse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meppen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Meppen - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽,
39', Ilic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Wessels N. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Lenz A. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Schepp C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Meppen won 3.

Meppen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Havelse in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Meppen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Meppen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	Todesfelde - Meppen	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Meppen - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Meppen	4:1 ✺
04.09.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Meppen	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Meppen - Jeddeloh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
22.09.24	Lübeck - TSV Havelse	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	TSV Havelse - Jeddeloh	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Bremer SV - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	TSV Havelse - Drochtersen Assel	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	SC Weiche-08 - TSV Havelse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
13.04.24	Meppen - TSV Havelse	4:1
15.10.23	TSV Havelse - Meppen	4:2
German 3 Bundesliga
05.02.22	TSV Havelse - Meppen	3:0
30.08.21	Meppen - TSV Havelse	1:0
German Regionalliga North
25.03.17	Meppen - TSV Havelse	2:0
02.10.16	TSV Havelse - Meppen	2:2
22.04.16	TSV Havelse - Meppen	5:2

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