Match Info

3. Liga - Round 7

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 10
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	OneFootball TV


	TSV Havelse		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.25
	2.75	3.50	2.30
	2.95	3.84	2.31
	2.53	3.57	2.53	Watch
	2.85	3.80	2.20
	2.68	3.56	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.96)	3.61 ↓ (3.78)	2.32 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
34%

Draw
25.8%

Fortuna Köln
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

24.6%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

TSV Havelse - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Opitz T. (G) 19. Voufack E. 15. Duah D. 4. Belkahia S. (C) 27. Nduka D. 10. Schumacher K. 28. Velasco R. 8. Berger J. 33. Tugbenyo J. 11. Wriedt K. 20. Guiddir A.	1. Winkler L. (G) 17. Heister F. 5. Funger S. 15. Al-Azzawe D. (C) 3. Fischer M. 38. Broger B. 6. Geerkens T. 11. Strauch G. 20. Stanilewicz A. 7. Thier N. 30. Aigbekaen R.
Substitutes
21. Behrens I. 3. Lamby M. 31. Oltrogge J. 9. Paldino L. 7. Richter M. 22. Sommer-Deiss L. 14. Wardak Y. 25. Wolter F. (G)	22. Afamefuna R. 18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bornemann T. 14. Harenbrock C. 2. Krumme K. 37. Mause J. 31. Telle N. 9. Wirtz E. 25. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Ferchichi S.	Mink M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Stanilewicz A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Broger B. ⚽, Aigbekaen R. (A),
40', Nduka D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Aigbekaen R. ↓, Wirtz E. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Wriedt K. ⚽,
69', Broger B. ↓, Mause J. ↑,
69', Thier N. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
74', Geerkens T. 🟨,
75', Velasco R. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
79', Funger S. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Mause J. ⚽,
84', Schumacher K. ↓, Sommer-Deiss L. ↑,
84', Belkahia S. ↓, Wardak Y. ↑,
84', Guiddir A. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Wirtz E. ⚽, Mause J. (A),
90+2', Berger J. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 16th).

Havelse is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Fortuna Köln have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Fortuna Koln: 1.5% TSV Havelse: 0.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Fortuna Koln	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
20	TSV Havelse	8	1	1	6	10:20	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Köln - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.03%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
15.09.26	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	TSV Havelse - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Preußen Münster - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	TSV Havelse - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLWL
- Fortuna Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hoffenheim II - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Verl - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTWT

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