The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merani Martvili 43%
Draw 26.7%
Kolkheti Poti 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
25.2%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merani Martvili's form might have worsened.
Kolkheti Poti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolkheti Poti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merani Martvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolkheti Poti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merani Martvili - Kolkheti Poti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 23. Gvasalia G. 4. Kharabadze N. 25. Mala D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 14. Khelaia D. 20. Gagity R. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 9. Jolokhava A. 5. Chumburidze N. 7. Esonkulov J.
25. Kopaliani S. (G) 2. Elbakidze L. 5. Kvirkvelia G. 24. Giunashvili A. (C) 22. Topadze M. 12. Oloko-Obi T. 3. Kharchilava S. 21. Paghava D. 29. Ostrovskyi V. 11. Kapanadze N. 26. Metuk G.
Substitutes
22. Askerov R. 31. Chachava V. (G) 19. Gadilia L. 8. Kadaria L. 10. Sikharulia Z. 18. Tsulaia L.
9. Avaliani A. 4. Dvalishvili J. 16. Gogolauri B. 19. Gvarjaladze S. 18. Inaishvili D. 10. Kharebava G. 1. Nanava L. (G) 7. Pachulia D. 27. Tsetskhaldze D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ostrovskyi V. 🟨,
30', Elbakidze L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ostrovskyi V. ↓, Kharebava G. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Esonkulov J. ⚽, Jolokhava A. (A),
57', Metuk G. ↓, Avaliani A. ↑,
63', Chumburidze N. ↓, Kadaria L. ↑,
63', Topadze M. ↓, Pachulia D. ↑,
79', Kapanadze N. ↓, Dvalishvili J. ↑,
80', Laghadze B. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
80', Khelaia D. ↓, Sikharulia Z. ↑,
87', Gagity R. 🟨,
90', Kharebava G. 🟨,
90+1', Jolokhava A. ↓, Gadilia L. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 0.
Merani Martvili has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kolkheti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Kolkheti has had a series of away games.
In this match, Merani Martvili is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Merani Martvili won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Merani Martvili
27
10
7
10
30:34
-4
37
9
Kolkheti 1913
27
6
10
11
34:33
1
28
Last Results with these Odds
Kolkheti Poti - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Khamkhoev K. (G) 
Gvasalia G. 
Mala D. 
Esonkulov J. 
Oloko-Obi T. 
Ostrovskyi V. 
Kapanadze N. 
Metuk G. 
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