The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kolkheti Poti 37.9%
Draw 28.6%
Gareji Sagarejo 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
28.1%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
27%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kolkheti Poti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kolkheti Poti's performance.
Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gareji Sagarejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kolkheti Poti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gareji Sagarejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kolkheti Poti - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kopaliani S. (G) 2. Elbakidze L. 3. Kharchilava S. 24. Giunashvili A. 22. Topadze M. 10. Kharebava G. (C) 18. Inaishvili D. 12. Oloko-Obi T. 7. Pachulia D. 9. Avaliani A. 26. Metuk G.
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 11. Aidarashvili D. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 5. Nikolaishvili G. 17. Kalandadze L. 29. Gugberidze B. 10. Babunadze T.
Substitutes
20. Andghuladze D. 23. Chincharauli S. 4. Dvalishvili J. 16. Gogolauri B. 11. Kapanadze N. 29. Ostrovskyi V. 8. Plyushch R. 27. Tsetskhaldze D. 32. Tskhadaia L. (G)
3. Chokheli N. 6. Gogokhia N. 22. Grigalashvili N. 15. Kapanadze T. 35. Kikvadze G. 1. Liparteliani A. (G) 21. Ninidze N. 14. Tchikaidze I. 8. Tsetskhladze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Eradze Z. ⚽,
20', Kharebava G. 🟨,
22', Aidarashvili D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Oloko-Obi T. ⚽,
33', Giunashvili A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Inaishvili D. ↓, Plyushch R. ↑,
52', Kalandadze L. 🟨,
65', Nikolaishvili G. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
65', Aidarashvili D. ↓, Kapanadze T. ↑,
65', Gugberidze B. ↓, Tchikaidze I. ↑,
74', Babunadze T. ↓, Ninidze N. ↑,
76', Metuk G. ↓, Kapanadze N. ↑,
77', Zurabiani D. ↓, Grigalashvili N. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti won 1.
Kolkheti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gareji is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Kolkheti has had a series of away games.
Gareji is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kolkheti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
27
14
8
5
35:28
7
50
9
Kolkheti 1913
27
6
10
11
34:33
1
28
Last Results with these Odds
Gareji Sagarejo - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.