The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aragvi Dusheti 39.5%
Draw 28.5%
Kolkheti Poti 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aragvi Dusheti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Kolkheti Poti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Aragvi Dusheti - Kolkheti Poti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kutateladze G. (G) 20. Chikvaidze L. 14. Zaridze I. 3. Molashvili T. 26. Tuychibaev M. 27. Dekanoidze D. 17. Janelidze G. (C) 11. Dvalishvili S. 7. Gabisonia D. 18. Bregvadze T. 16. Amoako D.
25. Kopaliani S. (G) 2. Elbakidze L. 3. Kharchilava S. 24. Giunashvili A. 22. Topadze M. 12. Oloko-Obi T. 10. Kharebava G. (C) 21. Paghava D. 7. Pachulia D. 26. Metuk G. 9. Avaliani A.
Substitutes
30. Bzekalava T. 1. Chikashua G. (G) 5. Chokheli L. 10. Kobakhidze L. 22. Kokosadze N. 19. Ksovreli G. 21. Mensa N.
23. Chincharauli S. 4. Dvalishvili J. 16. Gogolauri B. 18. Inaishvili D. 11. Kapanadze N. 5. Kvirkvelia G. 1. Nanava L. (G) 29. Ostrovskyi V. 8. Plyushch R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Topadze M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Avaliani A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Topadze M. ↓, Dvalishvili J. ↑,
54', Dvalishvili S. 🟨,
55', Kharebava G. ↓, Plyushch R. ↑,
55', Pachulia D. ↓, Kapanadze N. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Amoako D. ⚽,
62', Avaliani A. ↓, Inaishvili D. ↑,
68', Gabisonia D. ↓, Bzekalava T. ↑,
76', Kopaliani S. ↓, Nanava L. ↑,
82', Dekanoidze D. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
84', Zaridze I. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Janelidze G. ⚽, Bregvadze T. (A),
90+3', Dvalishvili S. ↓, Ksovreli G. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).
In recent matches, Aragvi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kolkheti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Kolkheti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aragvi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aragvi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Dusheti
27
10
5
12
30:37
-7
35
9
Kolkheti 1913
27
6
10
11
34:33
1
28
Last Results with these Odds
Kolkheti Poti - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.