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Current Win Probability
Merani Martvili 30.3%
Draw 30.4%
Meshakhte Tkibuli 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
28.5%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merani Martvili's form might have worsened.
Meshakhte Tkibuli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merani Martvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Merani Martvili - Meshakhte Tkibuli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Chachava V. (G) 26. Shonia I. 25. Mala D. 29. Khaymanov I. 17. Gvasalia G. 4. Gagity R. 10. Sikharulia Z. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 16. Gadilia L. 2. Jalolov S. 7. Esonkulov J.
1. Tkeshelashvili L. (C) 23. Shubitidze B. 20. Kurdadze L. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 16. Gegia G. 7. Shonia T. 5. Abuladze N. 30. Khorkheli A. 21. Gugeshashvili Z. 13. Burduli G. 10. Ghurtskaia D.
Substitutes
14. Begalishvili L. 23. Bendeliani G. (G) 19. Khorava D. 3. Latsabidze T. 40. Shamatava A. 13. Todua D. 18. Tsulaia S.
26. Gabiskiria B. 14. Jikia M. 36. Kvelaidze L. 25. Labadze A. (G) 11. Natchkebia D. 33. Oduduwa M. 27. Phob E. 4. Tereladze M. 29. Timi C. B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gagity R. 🟨,
23', Gadilia L. ↓, Khorava D. ↑,
30', Shonia T. 🟨,
45+3', Ghurtskaia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Laghadze B. ↓, Todua D. ↑,
46', Khorava D. ↓, Latsabidze T. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
49', Esonkulov J. 🟨,
57', Khorkheli A. ↓, Gabiskiria B. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Ghurtskaia D. ⚽,
72', Burduli G. ↓, Timi C. B. ↑,
72', Gugeshashvili Z. ↓, Jikia M. ↑,
88', Ugrekhelidze L. ↓, Oduduwa M. ↑,
88', Ghurtskaia D. ↓, Tereladze M. ↑,
90+2', Todua D. 🟨,
90+2', Tereladze M. 🟨,
Preview
Merani Martvili is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Meshakhte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Merani Martvili won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.