The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spaeri 65.2%
Draw 22.2%
Merani Martvili 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
24.1%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
21.3%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spaeri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Spaeri - Merani Martvili Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 2. Pirtakhia G. 14. Samkharadze G. 8. Maisuradze S. 12. Barabadze L. 30. Basilashvili Z. 18. Poniava P. 7. Gegiadze S. 11. Tsetskhladze G.
1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 26. Shonia I. 29. Khaymanov I. 25. Mala D. 17. Gvasalia G. 3. Latsabidze T. 16. Gadilia L. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 10. Sikharulia Z. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 7. Esonkulov J.
Substitutes
21. Arghvliani I. 6. Chotalishvili T. 24. Golubiani Z. 3. Kachibaia L. 13. Maghaldadze G. 40. Mathenjwa S. 1. Putkaradze B. (G) 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 9. Tsetskhladze G.
14. Begalishvili L. 30. Bolotashvili D. 31. Chachava V. (G) 2. Jalolov S. 22. Khmelidze J. 40. Shamatava A. 13. Todua D. 18. Tsulaia S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ugrekhelidze G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pirtakhia G. 🟨,
56', Sikharulia Z. 🟨,
59', Shonia I. 🟨,
61', Basilashvili Z. 🟨,
64', Tsetskhladze G. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
64', Chagunava N. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
73', Gadilia L. ↓, Shamatava A. ↑,
75', Maisuradze S. 🟨,
80', Barabadze L. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
80', Poniava P. ↓, Tsalughelashvili T. ↑,
87', Sikharulia Z. ↓, Tsulaia S. ↑,
88', Maisuradze S. ↓, Arghvliani I. ↑,
90+3', Tsalughelashvili T. 🟨,
90+5', Gvasalia G. ↓, Jalolov S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 4.
In recent matches, Spaeri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Merani Martvili is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Spaeri is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:17. (average 2.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Spaeri won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).