The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merani Martvili 37.8%
Draw 28.3%
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
27.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
25.5%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 17. Gvasalia G. 3. Latsabidze T. 29. Khaymanov I. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 18. Tsulaia S. 8. Kadaria L. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 40. Shamatava A. 16. Gadilia L. 7. Esonkulov J.
1. Nanava L. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 3. Molashvili T. 34. Gogoli D. 22. Khositashvili V. 38. Assaye D. 19. Kokhreidze L. (C) 6. Chileshe F. 9. Menteshashvili L. 36. Phiri B. 10. Kekelidze L.
Substitutes
14. Begalishvili L. 30. Bolotashvili D. 31. Chachava V. (G) 2. Jalolov S. 22. Khmelidze J. 26. Shonia I. 10. Sikharulia Z.
14. Amoako D. 39. Asanidze S. (G) 32. Gogatishvili G. 15. Gogokhia N. 11. Kalandadze L. 13. Metreveli L. 35. Ninidze N. 20. Todua G. 37. Vibliani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Menteshashvili L. ⚽, Phiri B. (A),
24', Assaye D. 🟨,
34', Shamatava A. ↓, Sikharulia Z. ↑,
34', Tsulaia S. ↓, Shonia I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
59', Kadaria L. 🟨,
65', Phiri B. ↓, Kalandadze L. ↑,
68', Gadilia L. ↓, Khmelidze J. ↑,
76', Kadaria L. ↓, Jalolov S. ↑,
88', Molashvili T. 🟨,
88', Assaye D. ↓, Vibliani A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 1.
Recent performances by Merani Martvili have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lokomotivi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Merani Martvili won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).