The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merani Martvili 26%
Draw 25.2%
Spaeri 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
24.5%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
22.7%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 3. Latsabidze T. 29. Khaymanov I. 25. Mala D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 4. Gagity R. 19. Khorava D. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 40. Shamatava A. 2. Jalolov S. 7. Esonkulov J.
1. Putkaradze B. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 4. Grigalashvili G. 14. Samkharadze G. 17. Tsurtsumia G. 6. Chotalishvili T. 40. Mathenjwa S. 12. Barabadze L. 7. Gegiadze S. 9. Tsetskhladze G.
Substitutes
14. Begalishvili L. 31. Chachava V. (G) 17. Gvasalia G. 9. Jolokhava A. 8. Kadaria L. 22. Khmelidze J. 10. Sikharulia Z.
21. Arghvliani I. 30. Basilashvili Z. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 24. Golubiani Z. 3. Kachibaia L. 10. Kobakhidze L. 2. Pirtakhia G. 18. Poniava P. 11. Tsetskhladze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gagity R. 🟨,
34', Grigalashvili G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
55', Chagunava N. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
55', Chotalishvili T. ↓, Basilashvili Z. ↑,
55', Tsetskhladze G. ↓, Poniava P. ↑,
60', Khorava D. ↓, Kadaria L. ↑,
67', Laghadze B. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Samkharadze G. (Pen),
70', Mala D. 🟨,
80', Jalolov S. ↓, Gvasalia G. ↑,
80', Shamatava A. ↓, Sikharulia Z. ↑,
87', Tsurtsumia G. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
90+1', Khaymanov I. ↓, Jolokhava A. ↑,
90+6', Poniava P. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 0.
Recent form of Merani Martvili has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spaeri is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Spaeri might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Merani Martvili won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.6:3).