Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Merani Martvili

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.45
	2.24	2.97	3.03
	2.25	3.07	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	1.97	3.13	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.32)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
42.6%

Draw
29.1%

Merani Martvili
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merani Martvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+5%)

Samtredia - Merani Martvili Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Labadze A. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 22. Mchedlishvili G. (C) 39. Nosegbe-Susko D. 19. Jangidze T. 14. Gauto R. 32. Lopez B. 31. Tsulaia L. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 9. Makatsaria T. 40. Chikovani T.	1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 23. Gvasalia G. 25. Mala D. 4. Kharabadze N. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 20. Gagity R. 14. Khelaia D. 9. Jolokhava A. 30. Bolotashvili D. 18. Tsulaia L. 7. Esonkulov J. (C)
Substitutes
30. Akhalkatsi S. 20. Gagnidze O. 29. Gigashvili Z. 4. Kaladze L. 15. Kveladze G. 12. Lazarevs V. (G) 7. Mandzhgaladze G. 11. Odikadze T. 8. Samurkasovi D.	22. Askerov R. 12. Bendeliani G. (G) 15. Beria S. 5. Chumburidze N. 19. Gadilia L. 8. Kadaria L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Esonkulov J. (Penalty Awarded),
7', 0 - 2, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
30', Jolokhava A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽, Mchedlishvili G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tsulaia L. ↓, Mandzhgaladze G. ↑,
46', Nosegbe-Susko D. ↓, Odikadze T. ↑,
46', Tsulaia L. ↓, Chumburidze N. ↑,
63', Jolokhava A. ↓, Gadilia L. ↑,
64', Gauto R. ↓, Kveladze G. ↑,
64', Lopez B. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,
78', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
80', 1 - 3, Ugrekhelidze G. ⚽,
81', Bolotashvili D. ↓, Kadaria L. ↑,
89', Chikovani T. ↓, Kaladze L. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Chumburidze N. ⚽, Esonkulov J. (A),
90+3', Gvasalia G. ↓, Beria S. ↑,
90+3', Gagity R. ↓, Askerov R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 3.

Samtredia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Merani Martvili has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Merani Martvili	27	10	7	10	30:34	-4	37
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
22.04.26	Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Telavi - Samtredia	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Samtredia - Odishi 1919	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
22.04.26	Merani Martvili - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Kolkheti Poti - Merani Martvili	5:1 ✺
11.03.26	Merani Martvili - Odishi 1919	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Shturmi - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.10.25	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:1
11.08.25	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	4:1
28.04.25	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:0
27.11.22	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	1:0
30.09.22	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:2
15.06.22	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	3:1
11.04.22	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	3:1

Samtredia - Merani Martvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide