Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 21

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Merani Martvili

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.23	2.96
	2.06	3.52	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3.34	3
	2.81	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.81)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.85 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
40.3%

Draw
27.5%

Merani Martvili
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotivi Tbilisi's performance.

Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merani Martvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotivi Tbilisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merani Martvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotivi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nanava L. (G) 30. Dvalishvili S. 24. Karimov M. 4. Bukia D. 16. Shashiashvili S. 21. Kvelashvili N. 10. Kekelidze L. (C) 6. Chileshe F. 11. Kalandadze L. 14. Amoako D. 19. Kokhreidze L.	1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 13. Todua D. 3. Latsabidze T. 25. Mala D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 19. Khorava D. 4. Gagity R. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 40. Shamatava A. 2. Jalolov S. 7. Esonkulov J.
Substitutes
23. Archaia L. 38. Assaye D. 32. Gogatishvili G. 15. Gogokhia N. 12. Khelashvili L. (G) 9. Menteshashvili L. 13. Metreveli L. 3. Molashvili T. 20. Todua G.	14. Begalishvili L. 31. Chachava V. (G) 17. Gvasalia G. 9. Jolokhava A. 8. Kadaria L. 29. Khaymanov I. 26. Shonia I. 10. Sikharulia Z. 18. Tsulaia S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Ugrekhelidze G. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
40', Kekelidze L. 🟨,
45', Khorava D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Shonia I. 🟨,
59', Kadaria L. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Menteshashvili L. ⚽,
75', Menteshashvili L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 2.

Lokomotivi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merani Martvili's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotivi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
25.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	4:2 ✺
04.08.25	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.07.25	Shturmi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLW
- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
25.08.25	Merani Martvili - Sioni Bolnisi	2:4 ✺
18.08.25	Rustavi - Merani Martvili	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	4:1 ✺
04.08.25	Merani Martvili - Iberia 1999 2	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.07.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.05.25	Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:2
29.03.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:2
20.10.23	Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:2
13.08.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	5:0
10.05.23	Merani Martvili - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0
11.03.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.04.16	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:1

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