Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 14Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Mercadal |
|
Formentera |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.98 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.11 |
3.16 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.07 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3 |
3.21 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.26) |
3.03 ↓ (3.06) |
3.15 ↑ (3.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mercadal 41% | Draw 30.1% | Formentera 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Mercadal - Formentera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Gorriz A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 12).Mercadal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Formentera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Mercadal will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).Including home match between the teams, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;