Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Mercadal		Serverense

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	7.75
	1.33	3.95	8
	1.35	4.03	8.15
	1.4	3.7	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	3.97 ↑ (3.78)	8.35 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
66.5%

Draw
22.7%

Serverense
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.

Serverense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serverense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serverense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serverense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Serverense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mercadal is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mercadal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.03.22	Collerense - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
09.03.22	Murense - Mercadal	0:4 ✺
06.03.22	Mercadal - Portmany	0:1 ✺
01.03.22	Constancia - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Mercadal - Inter Ibiza	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLTT
- CD Serverense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.03.22	Serverense - Rotlet Molinar	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Serverense - Son Verí	5:1 ✺
05.03.22	Murense - Serverense	0:1 ✺
01.03.22	Serverense - Platges de Calvià	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Sant Rafel - Serverense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.11.21	Serverense - Mercadal	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.09.17	Serverense - Mercadal	3:1

Mercadal - Serverense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide