Match Info

Primera C - Qualification - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Mercedes		Atlas General Rodríguez

	1	X	2
	3.42	2.77	2.21
	3.42	2.97	2.16	Watch
	3.39	2.93	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
26.7%

Draw
31.5%

Atlas General Rodríguez
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

29.3%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlas General Rodríguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Mercedes - Atlas General Rodríguez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Pighin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Vergara N. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mercedes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Atlas General Rodríguez - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
13.10.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
16.09.25	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLL
- Atlas General Rodríguez
Argentinian Primera C
13.10.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Argentino de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
13.10.25	Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes	1:2
14.07.24	Mercedes - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0
11.02.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Mercedes	1:1

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