Match Info

Primera C - Round 15

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Mercedes		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.80	3.80
	2.07	3.00	3.40
	2.03	2.75	4.22
	2.09	2.66	4.18	Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.80
	2.07	3.01	3.94	Watch
	1.95	2.90	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	2.85 ↓ (2.94)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
44.7%

Draw
32%

Deportivo Paraguayo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 4.

In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Paraguayo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mercedes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
30.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLT
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
30.05.26	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.10.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0
26.09.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:0
10.08.24	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:1
08.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
20.11.23	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:2
05.08.23	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:2
06.05.23	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1

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