Match Info

Primera C - Round 13

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Mercedes		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.65	3
	2.45	2.78	2.88
	2.73	2.39	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.47	2.82	2.83
	2.48	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.46)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mercedes
35.9%

Draw
33.6%

Leandro N. Alem
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

32%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Leandro N. Alem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Cruz Vera Borda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', Ramirez G. 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 0, Sanchez Olmos L. ⚽,
90+3', Mendiburu G. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Mercedes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leandro N. Alem is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leandro N. Alem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
18.05.26	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTT
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
17.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Muñiz	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.09.25	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1
31.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	1:2
20.11.24	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	0:1
19.06.24	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	0:1

Upcoming Matches