Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Merelbeke		Zelzate

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.4	2.45
	2.44	3.55	2.71
	2.39	3.55	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.39	3.36	2.52
	2.45	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.65)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merelbeke
37.7%

Draw
26.6%

Zelzate
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merelbeke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Zelzate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zelzate than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Merelbeke - Zelzate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Merelbeke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zelzate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zelzate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merelbeke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Zelzate - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Merelbeke
Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.11.25	Knokke - Merelbeke	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Merelbeke - Dessel Sport	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Diegem Sport - Merelbeke	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Houtvenne - Merelbeke	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merelbeke - Hoogstraten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL
- KVV Zelzate
Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.11.25	Cercle Brugge 2 - Zelzate	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Zelzate - Belisia Bilzen	3:3 ✺
16.11.25	Zelzate - Thes Sport	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Hoogstraten - Zelzate	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Zelzate - Ninove	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Second Amateur Division Group A
03.03.24	Zelzate - Merelbeke	1:2
26.11.22	Zelzate - Merelbeke	2:3

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