Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Merelinense		Bragança

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Merelinense
49.9%

Draw
27.3%

Bragança
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merelinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Merelinense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bragança is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Merelinense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Merelinense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Merelinense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Dumiense - Merelinense	1:0 ET ✺
19.02.23	Merelinense - Pevidem	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Merelinense - Brito	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLT
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Bragança - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Amarante - Bragança	5:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bragança - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Pevidem - Bragança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLLWW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Bragança - Merelinense	2:2
07.03.21	Merelinense - Bragança	3:2
09.02.20	Merelinense - Bragança	3:0

Merelinense - Bragança