Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	São Martinho		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.7	3.1	4.5
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.35	2.92	2.85
	2.23	3.24	2.93
	2.12	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.28 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Martinho
43.7%

Draw
28.7%

Merelinense
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

São Martinho - Merelinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Martinho won 1.

Recent matches São Martinho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Merelinense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São Martinho is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches São Martinho won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams São Martinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	São Martinho - Amarante	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Dumiense - São Martinho	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	São Martinho - Pevidem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTTL
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Merelinense - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vianense - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Tirsense - Merelinense	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Merelinense - Vilar de Perdizes	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Desportivo Monção - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Merelinense - São Martinho	1:0
29.05.21	Merelinense - São Martinho	1:2
09.05.21	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:1
23.02.20	Merelinense - São Martinho	2:1
Taça de Portugal
29.09.19	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:1 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.01.19	Merelinense - São Martinho	2:3
27.08.17	São Martinho - Merelinense	2:0

São Martinho - Merelinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide