Match Info

Date: 9 November 2021, Tuesday


	Merstham		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.65
	2.19	3.45	2.75
	2.23	3.59	2.97
	2.2	3.25	2.87
	2.16	3.6	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.33)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	2.84 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
41.5%

Draw
26.4%

Cray Wanderers
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

18.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merstham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Merstham - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Merstham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Merstham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.11.21	Hornchurch - Merstham	1:0 ✺
26.10.21	Worthing - Merstham	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Leatherhead - Merstham	2:3 ✺
19.10.21	Merstham - Bowers & Pitsea	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Merstham - Haringey Borough	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW
- Cray Wanderers
English FA Trophy
31.10.21	Cray Wanderers - Kings Langley	4:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.10.21	Cheshunt - Cray Wanderers	4:0 ✺
09.10.21	Haringey Borough - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
29.09.21	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.10.20	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	6:0
01.03.20	Cray Wanderers - Merstham	3:1
15.10.19	Merstham - Cray Wanderers	1:2

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