Match Info

Date: 26 October 2021, Tuesday


	Worthing		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.3	5	7
	1.34	5.18	8.06
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.32	5.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.91 ↑ (4.5)	7.36 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
68.9%

Draw
18.6%

Merstham
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

11.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-31.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merstham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worthing - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Worthing is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merstham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Worthing won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.10.21	Worthing - Lewes	5:4 ✺
16.10.21	Enfield Town - Worthing	2:2 ✺
13.10.21	Kingstonian - Worthing	3:4 ✺
09.10.21	Worthing - Bishops Stortford	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Worthing - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.10.21	Leatherhead - Merstham	2:3 ✺
19.10.21	Merstham - Bowers & Pitsea	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Merstham - Haringey Borough	5:0 ✺
12.10.21	Merstham - Margate	1:3 ✺
09.10.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Merstham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.01.20	Worthing - Merstham	6:1
01.10.19	Merstham - Worthing	1:3
27.04.19	Worthing - Merstham	2:4
30.01.19	Merstham - Worthing	1:0
02.04.18	Worthing - Merstham	3:2
01.01.18	Merstham - Worthing	0:4
28.03.17	Merstham - Worthing	1:2

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