Match Info

Date: 30 August 2021, Monday


	Merstham		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.66
	3.97	3.85	1.81
	4	3.75	1.67
	3.92	3.92	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.2)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merstham
23%

Draw
24%

Folkestone Invicta
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

19.2%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merstham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merstham - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Merstham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Folkestone is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Folkestone have a series of home games.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Merstham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.08.21	Horsham - Merstham	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Merstham - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Merstham	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Merstham - Dulwich Hamlet	1:3 ✺
27.07.21	Colliers Wood United - Merstham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLT
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.08.21	Folkestone Invicta - Enfield Town	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Folkestone Invicta - Worthing	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.21	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	2:0 ✺
10.07.21	Folkestone Invicta - Eastbourne Borough	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.20	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	0:4
26.08.19	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	3:1
13.04.19	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	1:3
01.12.18	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	6:2
03.10.17	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
15.08.17	Folkestone Invicta - Merstham	2:1
18.10.16	Merstham - Folkestone Invicta	3:1

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