Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Mes Kerman		Mes Sungun

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.08	6.51	Watch
	1.58	3.13	6.74	Watch
	1.55	3	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	3.07 ↑ (2.88)	6.92 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Kerman
57.2%

Draw
29.6%

Mes Sungun
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

31.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

30.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mes Kerman's performance.

Mes Sungun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Mes Kerman - Mes Sungun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Mes Kerman have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mes Sungun is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mes Kerman is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Kerman won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Mes Kerman	4	0	3	1	2:3	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
09.02.26	Besat Kermanshah - Mes Kerman	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Mes Kerman - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Niroye Zamini - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Mes Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLTWT
- Mes Sungun FSC
Iran Division 1
08.02.26	Mes Sungun - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Sungun	5:0 ✺
27.01.26	Mes Sungun - Ario Eslamshahr	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Havadar - Mes Sungun	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Mes Sungun - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
23.09.25	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	0:1
23.01.25	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	0:0
09.09.24	Mes Kerman - Mes Sungun	2:0
10.06.24	Mes Sungun - Mes Kerman	1:1
20.12.23	Mes Kerman - Mes Sungun	1:0

Mes Kerman - Mes Sungun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide