Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 17

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Navad Urmia		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.76	2.75	2.76	Watch
	2.21	2.74	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
37.1%

Draw
33.6%

Mes Kerman
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

32.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

33.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mes Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mes Kerman (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mes Kerman (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navad Urmia won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Navad Urmia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navad Urmia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Mes Kerman - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.17%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
27.11.25	Palayesh Naft - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Fard Alborz - Navad Urmia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWT
- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
20.12.25	Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Palayesh Naft - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mes Kerman - Shahrdari Noshahr	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Mes Kerman - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
26.04.21	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	0:0
16.12.20	Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia	1:0
12.07.20	Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia	0:0
10.11.19	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1
13.02.19	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	0:0
29.09.18	Mes Kerman - Navad Urmia	0:0

Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide