Match Info

IRAN: PERSIAN GULF PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Mes Rafsanjan		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	7
	1.43	3.37	6.94
	1.47	3.25	8
	1.5	3.45	7.7	Watch
	1.5	3.55	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.85)	3.44 ↑ (3)	7.37 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
61.4%

Draw
26.3%

Mes Kerman
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

30.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mes Rafsanjan's performance.

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mes Kerman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mes Rafsanjan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mes Kerman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mes Rafsanjan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mes Kerman will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mes Rafsanjan: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mes Rafsanjan won 2.

Recent matches Mes Rafsanjan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mes Kerman is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mes Rafsanjan is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mes Rafsanjan won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mes Rafsanjan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
15.04.23	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:0 ✺
31.03.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Sanat Naft	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Mes Kerman
Iran Pro League
14.04.23	Mes Kerman - Persepolis	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Sanat Naft - Mes Kerman	2:1 ✺
30.03.23	Mes Kerman - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Havadar - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Mes Kerman - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
19.12.22	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2
Iran Division 1
30.06.20	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
30.10.19	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	1:1
Club Friendly
09.08.19	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
Iran Division 1
16.03.19	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2
06.11.18	Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman	0:1
11.03.18	Mes Kerman - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1

Mes Rafsanjan - Mes Kerman