Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium (Isfahan)


	Sepahan		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	9.25
	1.52	3.65	5.6
	1.5	3.73	6.52	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.63	3.67	5.5
	1.52	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	6.75 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepahan
62.4%

Draw
23.9%

Mes Rafsanjan
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.8%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Mes Rafsanjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sepahan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 1 - 50%). Mes Rafsanjan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Mes Rafsanjan (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sepahan (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sepahan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 3 - 60%). Mes Rafsanjan (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niazmand P. (G)
11. Aghaeipour J.
. Ben Yedder W.
16. Bordbar M.
58. Daneshgar M.
8. Karimi M.
66. Khanonov V.
23. Mohebi M.
10. Shekari R.
14. Yousefi A.
18. Zakipour M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Aghaeipour J. ⚽, Yousefi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', Jolani A. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sepahan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:8 (average 2.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sepahan won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:3 (average 3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
05.04.25	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sepahan - Foolad Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Sepahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Sepahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTTT
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
05.04.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	3:1 ✺
27.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
08.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:3
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.06.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:2
Iran Pro League
11.05.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	1:1
09.12.23	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1
15.04.23	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0
28.10.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	0:0
22.01.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Sepahan	3:1

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