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Current Win Probability
Mes Rafsanjan 13.7%
Draw 27.1%
Persepolis 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11%
24.1%
64.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.7%
23.5%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persepolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persepolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 45% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 5. Nasiri M. 50. Heydarieh V. 8. Komar N. 23. Arab F. 6. Zendehrouh A. 20. Naghizadeh A. 2. Sedghi A. 18. Ramezani A.
1. Niazmand P. (G) 3. Barajeh Y. 6. Kanaani H. 5. Abarghouei H. 4. Mohammadi M. 21. Omri M. 10. Sarlak M. 7. Rafiei S. 70. Urunov O. 9. Alipour A. 23. Bifouma T.
Substitutes
66. Afkham A. 15. Akbari Ranjbar M. 24. Choubdari H. 30. Ghaffari S. . Harandi M. 78. Jolani A. 27. Kurdic N. 10. Nariman S. 99. Nikmehr A. 1. Parsa P. (G) 11. Sharifi M.
11. Ahmadzadeh F. 2. Alishah O. 93. Aurier S. 14. Enayatzadeh A. 69. Kazemian A. 77. Khodabandelou M. 34. Mahmoudi A. 8. Pouraliganji M. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 76. Sahraei S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Rafiei S. ⚽, Alipour A. (A),
39', Ramezani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Omri M. ↓, Alishah O. ↑,
46', Bifouma T. ↓, Kazemian A. ↑,
47', Barajeh Y. 🟨,
57', Arab F. 🟨,
60', Sedghi A. 🟨,
68', Naghizadeh A. ↓, Nariman S. ↑,
70', Sedghi A. 🟨,
82', Barajeh Y. ↓, Aurier S. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1.
Mes Rafsanjan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Persepolis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Persepolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Persepolis is the obvious favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).