Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Paykan

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.7
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.7	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
33.8%

Draw
32.4%

Paykan
33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

34.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mes Rafsanjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Paykan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mes Rafsanjan (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mes Rafsanjan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 4. Salimi I. . Joulani A. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 22. Matheus Costa 6. Zendehrouh A. 10. Nariman S. 20. Naghizadeh A. 11. Sharifi M. 26. Ramezani A.	1. Gohari A. (G) 6. Bagheri M. 28. Entezari N. 27. Ali Faramarzi M. 14. Tavakoli S. 9. Emamali F. 11. Amiri F. 66. Sadeghinasab A. 77. Jamshidi E. 90. Taheri K. 23. Azarpad M.
Substitutes
15. Akbari Ranjbar M. 24. Choubdari H. 50. Heydarieh V. 7. Karimzadeh M. H. 86. Khatibi F. 8. Komar N. 77. Mehanovic M. 5. Nasiri M. 99. Nikmehr A. 1. Parsa P. (G) 2. Sedghi A.	. Alimoradi A. 5. Bagheri M. 22. Esfandiari E. (G) 81. Fahmi Maleki O. 32. Hardani S. 10. Jafari S. 70. Karami I. 18. Madadizadeh A. 8. Najafi M. 16. Tabrizi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Azarpad M. 🟨,
31', Entezari N. 🟨,
32', Naghizadeh A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Ramezani A. ⚽, Matheus Costa (A),
58', 2 - 0, Sharifi M. ⚽, Nariman S. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 3.

Mes Rafsanjan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paykan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL
- Paykan
Iran Pro League
27.09.25	Paykan - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Esteghlal - Paykan	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Paykan	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Zob Ahan - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Hazfi Cup
25.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:1 penalties
Iran Pro League
12.04.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:2
28.10.23	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1
18.05.23	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
05.01.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0
30.05.22	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1
13.01.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	0:0

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