Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	IRIB Varzesh


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.62	2.82
	2.98	2.69	2.74
	2.84	2.59	2.84
	2.24	2.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.24)	2.65 ↓ (2.9)	2.99 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
34%

Draw
34.9%

Mes Rafsanjan
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal Khuzestan's form might have worsened.

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kia M. (G) 60. Baghaki S. D. 41. Mirdurghi F. 66. Mehdizadeh M. 77. Ahmadi M. M. 11. Koohi A. 29. Latifi G. 16. Jalalivand A. 8. Bouhamdan H. 7. Rostami A. 70. Ahmadi H.	44. Mirzazad N. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 27. Kurdic N. 4. Salimi I. 50. Heydarieh V. . Taghizadeh O. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 6. Zendehrouh A. 10. Nariman S. 22. Matheus Costa 15. Akbari Ranjbar M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Jalalivand A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Ahmadi H. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 3.

Esteghlal Khuzestan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
19.09.25	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
15.05.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Tractor Sazi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWTTL
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
15.05.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
14.03.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0
17.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2
28.05.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:3
24.12.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1
Iran Division 1
13.01.20	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:1
22.08.19	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1

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